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Federal Bitcoin reserve bill codifies 20-year lockup

Thursday, June 11, 2026 · from 2 podcasts
  • A new federal bill mandates a 20-year lockup and cryptographic proof of reserves for US Bitcoin holdings.
  • Michael Saylor trades his 'never sell' mantra for a model integrating Bitcoin into legacy debt markets.
  • Weekly ETF outflows exceed $1 billion as Coinbase execs spot sovereign wealth funds buying the dip.

Michael Saylor’s corporate Bitcoin thesis is cracking. The foundational pillar of ‘never sell’ broke when MicroStrategy sold 32 Bitcoin to fund dividends, its first sale since 2022. On Bitcoin And, David Bennett argued this dented the ‘diamond hands’ narrative that sustained institutional sentiment through the last cycle.

Saylor’s new strategy, described as ‘disciplined expansion,’ aims to embed Bitcoin as sacred infrastructure within banks, credit markets, and corporate treasuries. Bennett warns this financialization turns a sovereign asset into a mere utility for the legacy system, like ‘bridling a wild animal.’

That friction is showing in the market. Weekly Bitcoin ETF outflows have topped $1 billion for three consecutive weeks, and the price hovers near $61,000 - a nearly 50% drop from its 2026 peak. Bennett notes this bloodletting coincides with Saylor’s pivot.

“The American Reserve Modernization Act of 2026 (HR 8957) seeks to permanently codify a strategic Bitcoin reserve with a mandatory 20-year holding period. No selling, no swapping, and no encumbering allowed.”

- David Bennett, Bitcoin And

Legislative momentum is now formalizing the opposite of Saylor’s new approach. Representative Nick Begich’s bill forces the Treasury to hold any Bitcoin for two decades, with funding restricted to budget-neutral pathways like converting non-Bitcoin digital assets. It also mandates quarterly cryptographic attestations, creating a level of on-chain accountability previously unknown in federal finance.

The tension is between Saylor’s vision of Bitcoin as a leveraged financial tool and the bill’s framing as a locked strategic reserve. Bennett notes the legislation allows states to store holdings in segregated Treasury accounts, effectively federalizing custody.

Despite retail liquidations on offshore exchanges, institutional buyers are treating the downturn as an accumulation opportunity. On Bitcoin And, Coinbase executive John D’Agostino claimed sovereign wealth funds and family offices see the $65,000 range as a discount, not a disaster, and are looking for cheap capital to buy.

The market is testing two competing philosophies: one that locks Bitcoin away as a national reserve for generations, and another that seeks to integrate it immediately into the machinery of debt and dividends. The bill’s 20-year mandate is a direct rejection of the financial utility model Saylor now advocates.

The real shift isn’t in price; it’s in purpose. Bitcoin’s role is being redefined not by traders, but by lawmakers and the corporate pioneer who started the trend.

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  • Anthropic launched Claude Fable 5, its first 'Mythos-class' model, which Nathaniel Whittemore describes as 'fairly undisputedly the best AI model we have ever been able to use'.
  • Fable 5 significantly outperformed competitors on key benchmarks. On Swebench Pro it scored 80.3% versus GPT-55's 58.6%, and it achieved a 29.3% on the new Frontier Code benchmark, more than double Opus 48's 13.4%.
  • Mythos 5, the less-safeguarded counterpart to Fable 5, is initially only available to Project Glasswing partners, including the US government, with plans for a broader trusted access program later.
  • Anthropic implemented strict content guardrails on Fable 5, automatically routing requests related to cybersecurity, biology, chemistry, or 'distillation' (AI research) to Claude Opus 48 instead of refusing them outright.
  • Early adopters reported transformative use cases, including Stripe using Fable 5 to compress months of engineering into days for a 50-million-line Ruby codebase migration, and Allie K. Miller noting it could solve MBA-level word math problems with zero babysitting.
  • API pricing for Fable 5 is set at $10 per million input tokens and $50 per million output tokens, double the cost of Opus but less than half the cost of the Mythos Preview within Project Glasswing.
  • Anthropic's data retention policy for Mythos-class models mandates that prompts and outputs are retained for 30 days for trust and safety purposes, a move criticized for creating enterprise compliance challenges.
  • Felix Ryeberg of Anthropic argued Fable 5 signals a shift from users giving AI 'tasks' to assigning 'responsibilities' or autonomous loops, such as having an agent monitor all crash reports instead of just fixing a single bug.
  • Nate B. Jones described the critical new skill for the Fable 5 era as 'task imagination' - the ability to conceive of ambitious, multi-hour projects to delegate, moving beyond small, incremental AI tasks.
  • Whittemore predicts users will need to develop 'use case classification' skills to optimize token efficiency, consciously matching different tasks to the appropriate model power level as high-end models like Fable 5 move to usage-based pricing.

Hormuz Schmooze | Bitcoin NewsJun 9

  • Michael Saylor argues Bitcoin needs disciplined expansion through banks, corporate treasuries, credit markets, and capital markets rather than relying solely on spot ETF inflows.
  • Spot Bitcoin ETFs posted weekly net outflows of $1.4B, $1.26B, and $1B in the last three weeks of May, with the current week's outflows at $1.4B.
  • MicroStrategy sold 32 Bitcoin to fund preferred stock dividends, its first sale since 2022.
  • Analyst Lacey Zhang said Bitcoin may be closer to clearing its leverage episode after an $1.8B liquidation wave and deeply negative funding rates.
  • Nikolai Sondergaard of Nansen said exchange flow data suggests participants are using Bitcoin's bounce to reduce exposure, not add positions.
  • The full text of the American Reserve Modernization Act (HR 8957) mandates a 20-year lockup for Bitcoin deposited into a federal strategic reserve, with sales capped at 10% every two years afterward.
  • A Chinese court sentenced a man to 10 years and 9 months in prison for stealing 107 Bitcoin, ruling that Bitcoin meets China's legal definition of property.
  • Coinbase's John D'Agostino claimed institutional investors and Middle Eastern family offices view the Bitcoin price drop as an accumulation opportunity, not a reason to panic.
  • MicroStrategy purchased an additional 1,550 Bitcoin for $101M at approximately $65,000 per coin, days after selling a smaller amount.
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Protocol (3)

  • Maritime service platform Hormuz SAFE in Iran claims to accept Bitcoin and Lightning payments for services like marine insurance and emergency response.
  • Bitcoin's hash rate fell to 854 exahashes per second as price declines forced some miners offline.
  • Bitcoin price fell to $59,099, marking a more than 50% decline from its all-time high near $126,000.