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Hedge funds have aggressively entered the Treasury market, increasing their ownership share from 2 percent to nearly 8 percent. Robin Wigglesworth notes they now own more Treasuries than Japan, China, and Saudi Arabia combined, introducing highly leveraged volatility.
According to Pape, Saudi Arabia is responding to Iran's trajectory as a rising global power by seeking security partnerships with Pakistan and Turkey. The Saudis are also actively considering nuclear weapons development as a counterweight.
Leverage-dependent hedge funds now control 8.5% of the entire US Treasury market, exceeding the official combined holdings of China, Japan, and Saudi Arabia. Jack Mallers warns this high concentration risks sudden, forced market sell-offs if volatility spikes.
Stephen Walt traces the large American military footprint in the Middle East to the 1991 Gulf War and the subsequent dual containment policy. This permanent troop presence in Saudi Arabia directly motivated Al-Qaeda's jihad against the United States.
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