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Benjamin Netanyahu is seeking an endorsement from Donald Trump ahead of an upcoming Israeli election, where he faces significant challenges.
A new poll for the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary shows DSA-aligned candidate Francesca Hong leading with 44% of the vote, with David Crowley at 15% and Mandela Barnes at 14%.
Public backlash against data centers is a top voting issue for Wisconsin Democratic primary voters, and Francesca Hong was the only candidate to support a one-year moratorium on their construction.
DSA-aligned candidates, including Francesca Hong, Mi-Lak Kiros (Colorado), Troy Jackson (Maine), Peggy Flanagan (Minnesota), and Abdul El-Sayed (Michigan), are finding success by offering moral clarity and clear policy stances.
A Michigan poll shows Abdul El-Sayed leading Haley Stevens by 10 points (48% to 37%) despite significant AIPAC spending against him, reflecting a shift in Democratic primary voter preferences.
A new Texas Public Opinion Research poll shows Tallerico leading Ken Paxton by five points in the Texas governor's race, with a significant shift of Latino voters to Tallerico.
Emily and Krystal Ball agree Ken Paxton is a weaker candidate than Ted Cruz was in 2018, noting Paxton's corrupt reputation and impeachment in the Texas House alienate traditional Republican voters.
Emily notes that despite the Iran war's unpopularity, a Washington Post/Ipsos poll from April shows Republicans are now trusted slightly more than Democrats on the issue, a 2-point swing.
Crystal Ball suggests Democrats' lack of a clear anti-war stance or coherent opposition on Iran contributes to their low public trust, unlike prominent Democratic Socialist candidates.
Democratic Socialist candidates Francesca Hank (Wisconsin), Abdullah Sayad, and Peggy Flanagan (Minnesota) are polling strongly, partly due to their clear anti-war positions on Iran.
Wisconsin voters are significantly concerned about data centers, an issue where Democratic gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hank is leading other Democratic candidates.
Rachel Abrams notes AIPAC is spending a record amount in midterm elections, primarily Democratic primaries, to influence candidates based on a shifting definition of pro-Israel support.
Jonathan Mahler observes a paradigm shift in the US-Israel relationship, with a growing number of Democratic politicians publicly questioning and distancing themselves from Israel, a stance once considered political suicide.
AIPAC's substantial spending in this election cycle has made it a focal point in Democratic primaries, becoming both a proxy for US-Israel policy and the broader debate about large campaign contributions.
Jonathan Mahler explains that the 2018 election of "The Squad," progressive lawmakers openly critical of Israel and supportive of BDS, presented a new challenge to AIPAC's traditional bipartisan support model.
Before the 2022 midterms, AIPAC established the United Democracy Project (UDP) super PAC, allowing it to spend unlimited sums in political campaigns following the Citizens United decision.
In 2022, AIPAC's Super PAC spent $26 million to support pro-Israel candidates and used "dark money" for issue-based ads unrelated to Israel, like reproductive rights, without revealing the funding source.
AIPAC's endorsement of over 100 candidates who supported efforts to overturn the 2020 election alienated many Democratic American Jews, prioritizing perceived Israeli interests over American democratic principles.
In response to heightened anti-Israel sentiment, AIPAC spent $120 million in the 2024 election cycle, notably defeating "Squad" members Cori Bush and Jamal Bowman, whom they considered central to anti-Israel views in Congress.
In a Michigan Senate primary, AIPAC is spending nearly $30 million for Haley Stevens, a moderate, against Abdul El-Said, a progressive who criticizes US aid to Israel and frames AIPAC as a symbol of corrupting money in politics in this election cycle.
Piotr Zilebsky reports Özel's new party has become Turkey's second-biggest in parliament, attracting 91 MPs from the Republican People's Party (CHP).
Erdogan's AK party has led Turkey for a quarter-century since 2002, with Erdogan becoming Prime Minister in 2003 and President in 2014.
Erdogan is expected to advance the 2028 presidential elections to next year, having previously extended his term through 2017 constitutional changes.
Piotr Zilebsky states Özel took over the CHP in 2023 and led it to its best local election result in about half a century in 2024 before a court deposed him.
Critics believe Erdogan influenced a court ruling that deposed Özel and replaced him with Kemal Kilishtaroulu, seen as a more manageable opponent.
The CHP's support has declined to single digits, and a July 25th ceremony to welcome new members notably used paid extras who received $20 each.
Piotr Zilebsky notes 26 CHP mayors and hundreds of local officials have been arrested, suggesting the opposition's immediate focus is political survival.
The scandal hurt Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his party's standing for critical September elections in Eastern German states, where the populist right AFD is in the lead.
Donald Trump claimed the US is experiencing its "single greatest year," promising prescription drug price cuts of 400-600% and a "Great Healthcare Plan" that would directly fund citizens' healthcare purchases.
Emily notes Donald Trump previously suggested Republicans might not win midterms; as of 100 days before the election, the national average gas price stands at $4.01.