Nuclear power plants are now military targets. The unwritten rule that civilian reactors were off-limits in war is gone, shattered by Russia’s occupation of Chernobyl and Zaporizhzhia in 2022. This isn't just an escalation; it's a fundamental change in the global risk calculus.
On The Intelligence from The Economist, Harvard historian Serhii Plohi argues that the global safety regime was built for peacetime. International law treats reactors like dams - civilian infrastructure to be avoided. But the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has no mandate to intervene when a country turns its own plant into a fortress, as Russia did at Zaporizhzhia.
The original Chernobyl disaster offers a grim precedent for this political disregard for safety. The RBMK reactor didn't fail on technical merits alone. It was a dual-use military design, adapted to produce weapon-grade plutonium, and its critical flaws were classified. The operators who pushed the emergency shutdown button in 1986 had no idea it could trigger an explosion with the force of 60 tons of TNT. They were victims of a Soviet system that prized secrecy over science.
That system’s instinct was to conceal, not contain. Pediatritian Alla Shapiro recounted being sent into the fallout zone without protective gear. The state delayed the evacuation of 115,000 people from Pripyat, waiting for orders from Moscow, and only admitted the disaster after Swedish sensors detected the radioactive cloud. Plohi argues this political culture of avoiding responsibility remains intact in modern Russia.
Chernobyl’s legacy stalled nuclear power for decades. The disaster became a symbol of its dangers, contributing to widespread public opposition. Citing the fallout, commentator Jim Smith notes only three reactors have been built in the U.S. in the last 30 years, and Germany abandoned its nuclear program entirely after the Fukushima incident.
The threat today is more acute. Modern drone warfare means a non-nuclear state can now trigger a meltdown by striking a rival's cooling systems or spent fuel storage. Plohi contends we have no business building new reactors until a new international convention is established to protect existing ones during armed conflict.
Luck has been the primary defense so far. A Russian drone pierced the Chernobyl sarcophagus in 2025 without causing a significant radioactive release. But as Plohi makes clear, relying on luck is not a strategy. The taboo is broken, and the world is unprepared for the consequences.
