Iran now requires shipping companies to pay maritime tolls through its Bitcoin-based insurance platform, HormuzSafe. This state-backed scheme directly challenges US sanctions power by embedding payments on an uncensorable ledger.
Marty Bent argued on Rabbit Hole Recap that this is Bitcoin’s most significant geopolitical test. Where US regulators froze hundreds of millions in Iranian-linked Tether, they have no kill switch for Bitcoin. The platform frames tolls as “insurance,” providing corporate cover for shippers. If successful, it would demonstrate a nation-state can settle international trade beyond Washington’s reach.
“This is the ‘final boss’ of Bitcoin’s value proposition. If a nation-state at war with the US dollar can successfully settle international trade in BTC, the sanctions regime loses its teeth.”
- Marty Bent, Rabbit Hole Recap
Washington’s response is bifurcating. While Iran operationalizes Bitcoin, Congress is moving to codify a US strategic reserve. Representative Nick Begich introduced the American Reserve Modernization Act, aiming for a 1-million-Bitcoin stockpile over five years. This builds on a 2025 Trump executive order and signals a shift from regulatory hostility to integration.
Meanwhile, billionaires are drawing opposite conclusions. Mark Cuban sold most of his Bitcoin, calling it a failed hedge because its price didn’t rise alongside gold during the US-Iran conflict. In contrast, SpaceX’s S-1 filing revealed a treasury of 18,712 Bitcoin, worth roughly $1.45 billion at a $35,000 cost basis.
“He attributes Cuban’s success to a single lucky break in the 90s rather than financial prescience, noting Cuban’s previous failed bets on Dogecoin and NFTs.”
- David Bennett, Bitcoin And
The US is tightening surveillance on two fronts. Donald Trump signed an order expanding Bank Secrecy Act requirements, lowering the threshold for state monitoring of routine transactions. Simultaneously, House Oversight Chair James Comer launched a probe into prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi, demanding documents on identity verification after a US soldier allegedly netted $400,000 using inside information on Venezuela.
A parallel legal attack is targeting dormant Bitcoin. A New York lawsuit seeks to seize $285 billion from 39,069 inactive addresses, including wallets linked to early miners and Satoshi Nakamoto. The suit is a legal trial balloon - technically unenforceable on-chain, but a warning that if these coins ever move to a regulated custodian, courts could compel seizure.
The throughline is control. Iran uses Bitcoin to evade it. Washington seeks to co-opt it. And the network’s neutrality is being stress-tested in real time.

