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Calshi is regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a platform for trading financial derivatives, not gambling, while Polymarket was fined $1.4 million by the CFTC in 2022 for operating as an unregulated exchange and was banned from US users until recently.
Donald Trump Jr. became a strategic advisor at Calshi in January 2025 and later his venture capital firm invested in Polymarket, shortly after which the CFTC announced it would allow Polymarket to operate in the United States.
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