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Kalshi aims to transition the over-the-counter and structured products markets into openly traded venues to rival the CME. Institutions are already using Kalshi's climate and policy markets to hedge complex real-world financial risks.
Amkar Godbole reports that Goldman Sachs expects a September Federal Reserve rate hike to be highly unlikely due to soft economic data. CME FedWatch data indicates that traders price in only a 30.6% chance of a rate increase.
John Haar points out that despite CME Fed Funds futures pricing in over a 50% chance of a rate hike by December, the Federal Reserve is highly unlikely to increase rates. Haar expects a pause to act as a bullish market signal.
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