- 3d ago
Lindner forecasts a surplus of 3-4 million barrels of oil per day in 2026, citing major forecasting firms, and expects the current price spike from the Hormuz conflict to fade faster than the Ukraine-Russia war spike did.
- 3d ago
Pape argues Iran will not concede nuclear or Strait control because it would increase vulnerability, citing historical examples where states like Ukraine and Libya faced attack after giving up deterrents.
- 3d ago
Chilkoti draws a contrast with the 2022 Ukraine crisis, where Russia and Ukraine produced roughly 12% of global calories and direct sanctions on agricultural goods were avoided to enable a Black Sea grain deal.
- 3d ago
The removal of Orban's party in Hungary after 16 years eliminates a key obstacle within the EU's unanimity clause, potentially allowing Russia's sanctioned funds to be used for Ukraine's military and extending the war by three years.
- 5d ago
Dixon analyzes Hungary's election result as significant for ending EU unanimity via Orban, allowing more Ukraine war funding (bad for Ukraine), potential EU trade sanctions on Israel, and being ultimately good for Russia and transnational capital.