The Frontier

Tucker Carlson states the U.S. and Israel have resumed strikes on Iran, which may escalate into a full-scale kinetic war.

Carlson claims President Trump has announced an imminent deal with Iran 38 times since March 23rd, with each announcement proving untrue.

Carlson argues Iran is winning the war by the only metric that matters: control of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of global commodities flow.

Carlson contends the war reveals the limits of American military, economic, and moral power. The U.S. cannot open the Strait of Hormuz despite its military budget.

Carlson claims the U.S. has abandoned moral pretense by openly assassinating leaders like General Soleimani, bombing civilian infrastructure like a girls' school, and threatening nuclear strikes without apology.

Carlson argues the war demonstrates the U.S. lacks sovereignty, as President Trump did not decide the time and place of the conflict; Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did.

John Mearsheimer states the Israeli lobby and Israel were principal driving forces behind the U.S. decision to invade Iraq in 2003, a view he published with Stephen Walt in 2007.

Mearsheimer argues the lobby works to suppress criticism, citing canceled talks at Google and the Chicago Council on Foreign Relations after their book's release.

Mearsheimer predicts Russia will win in Ukraine, leaving it a dysfunctional rump state, while wrecking NATO and damaging the U.S.-European transatlantic relationship.

Mearsheimer warns of a serious risk of nuclear escalation in Ukraine, as Russia views Ukrainian attacks on its homeland and strategic nuclear triad as an existential threat.

Mearsheimer says Putin is a moderate by modern Russian standards, under pressure from his right flank for not waging the war in Ukraine more vigorously, and never intended to recreate the Soviet Empire.

Mearsheimer explains the unipolar moment led the U.S. to oppose any challenger like Putin, and current policy aims to knock Russia out of the ranks of great powers, a dangerously provocative goal.

Mearsheimer argues Israel has no sense of the limits of power, abetted by unconditional U.S. support and the lobby, leading to self-destructive policies like the genocide in Gaza.

Mearsheimer states the same forces pushing for war with Iran pushed for war in Ukraine, motivated by a desire to keep the U.S. military engaged globally for Israel's potential needs.

Mearsheimer and Carlson criticize dual loyalty, arguing immigrants must transfer allegiance to the U.S. and condemning Americans who lobby for foreign countries like Israel or Cuba.

Ken Silva's book is the first forensic investigation into the 2024 Trump assassination attempts, while other accounts like Selena Zito's focus on political fallout and affirm the official lone gunman narrative.

The official Butler story is that Thomas Crooks, a radicalized lone gunman with no online profile, exploited a security failure, fired eight shots, and was killed by a Secret Service sniper. Silva disputes key details, including who fired the fatal shot.

Ken Silva argues the official account of David King saving Trump is false. The fatal shot was fired by local Butler ESU officer Aaron Zaloponi, not the Secret Service sniper. Trump incorrectly credited King.

Silva obtained Crooks's community college emails. On June 14, 2024, Crooks inquired about his diploma status to attend Robert Morris University that fall, suggesting he wasn't planning to die.

Thomas Crooks was a straight-A student, well-liked, built Braille games for his blind mother, and was a registered Republican who donated to ActBlue on Biden's Inauguration Day. His politics and final years remain a cipher.

Judicial Watch's FOIA lawsuit revealed the FBI has 75,000 responsive records on Thomas Crooks but has released only about 200 pages over four months, a pace Silva calls egregious and revealing.

On the day of the Butler rally, Secret Service agents arrived late after reportedly drinking, and a Pennsylvania trooper was barred from their security briefing, highlighting coordination failures.

Thomas Crooks visited the Clariton Sports Club range 43 times in 10 months. On four occasions, he signed in simultaneously with a mystery person, and he once emailed a professor to be late for class to go to the range.

Crooks was first spotted on the AGR building roof at 6:03 PM. Despite multiple sightings and a local cop's radio alert at 6:08 PM, Secret Service Command Center leader Jeffrey Burr claims he never heard the warning.

Secret Service sniper David King testified he didn't see Crooks until after the shooting, but his own post-incident notes state he saw a man 'low crawling' with an AR-15 before shots were fired.

Ken Silva dismisses theories the shooting was staged, citing the real local police response, real bullets, real injuries, and Trump's treatment by a local Butler doctor, not his personal physician.

Crooks's body was held until 6 AM and sent to Allegheny County, not Butler. Medical Examiner Ariel Goldschmidt, a dual Israeli citizen, performed an incomplete toxicology test and released the body for cremation with bullet fragments still inside.

The DOJ told Ken Silva the Crooks investigation was 'open but not active,' a designation he argues is a legal excuse to avoid FOIA disclosure after previously claiming it was closed.

Silva's central unanswered question is why Secret Service sniper David King waited up to 23 seconds to engage Crooks after he started firing, and why Trump publicly praises him despite contradictory testimony.

Silva found bombs in Crooks's car and bomb-making materials in his home, including racing fuel ordered via his college email in January 2024, but the intended use remains unknown.