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BITCOIN

Bitcoin's Future: Freedom or Stablecoin Control

Sunday, March 15, 2026 · from 6 podcasts, 9 episodes
  • Governments are pushing for extensive surveillance and control over digital assets, favoring stablecoins for regulated use while Bitcoin faces tax and monitoring hurdles.
  • Global demand for financial freedom hinges on stablecoins, not volatile Bitcoin, challenging Western perceptions of digital asset adoption.
  • Bitcoin's open-source development is expanding, fighting centralization through builder events and Layer 2 innovations like native stablecoins.

Financial freedom means different things depending on where you live.

In much of the world, navigating volatile economies makes Bitcoin’s price swings a non-starter; what people truly want is banking utility with stable value. Francis Pouliot of Bull Bitcoin notes North Americans often misunderstand this, as the real demand outside wealthy nations is for stablecoins like Tether, not speculative asset exposure.

Governments are seizing on this divide. Paraguay enacted sweeping surveillance, requiring reporting for all crypto transactions over $5,000. South Korea is building AI-powered tax tracking. This global push for comprehensive oversight often frames stablecoins as the only legitimate digital currency, sidelining Bitcoin as a taxable capital asset.

The fight over a Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption exposes this schism. Jack Dorsey’s Block pushes for Bitcoin as “everyday money,” while Coinbase faces accusations of lobbying to limit this relief to stablecoins. Rabbit Hole Recap’s Matt Odell and Bitcoin And’s David Bennett suggest this reflects a broader industry pattern of prioritizing speculative crypto over Bitcoin’s foundational use.

Yet, Bitcoin's grassroots movement is expanding. Spiral’s team hosted a New York Builder event, signaling a spread of open-source development beyond traditional hubs. Projects like Utxo and Ark are building Bitcoin-native stablecoins on Layer 2s, aiming for censorship resistance without custodial risks. Sideswap offers noncustodial Liquid sidechain access, with Brazilian stablecoin Depix driving adoption.

This tension highlights an ideological battle. The DOJ’s continued pursuit of Tornado Cash co-founder Roman Storm for open-source code clashes with Treasury acknowledgements of legitimate privacy uses for mixers. As institutions crumble under transparency, as Fernando Nikolic argued on TFTC, Bitcoin’s apolitical, predictable rules stand in stark contrast to centralized control.

The future of digital finance will be defined by whether a decentralized, open system can withstand the coordinated efforts to monitor and control it.

Francis Pouliot, BTC Sessions:

- This is what North Americans don't understand.

- Outside of North America, people don't have money and they can't withstand volatility.

Entities Mentioned

AardvarkProduct
Alex FinnPerson
BasecampProduct
Bitcoin Policy InstituteCompany
Bull BitcoinCompany
Cash AppProduct
CoinbaseCompany
LiquidConcept
search_result blocksTool
SpiralCompany
TetherCompany
USDCProduct

Source Intelligence

What each podcast actually said

Strategy's STRC Buying Spree, Open-Source AI Blind Spots, Bitcoin Stablecoins from Utexo & ArkMar 13

  • Centralized bottlenecks in AI—data, compute, and distribution—undermine the promise of open-source decentralization, making true autonomy in AI development difficult to achieve.
  • Utxo and Ark introduced Bitcoin-native stablecoins that operate on Layer 2 solutions while maintaining settlement finality and censorship resistance on Bitcoin’s base layer.
  • Bitcoin-native stablecoins from Utxo and Ark aim to enable dollar-pegged utility without custodial intermediaries, offering a censorship-resistant alternative to Ethereum-style stablecoins.

Also from this episode:

Lightning (1)
  • Spiral’s team hosted the first Builder event in New York at PubKey, signaling the expansion of grassroots Bitcoin development beyond Austin and into major financial centers.
Other (1)
  • The New York Builder event drew 50 attendees, reinforcing the growing momentum of in-person Bitcoin development meetups focused on open building, fast iteration, and stacking sats.
Nostr (1)
  • Steve from Presidio Bitcoin Jam credits Haley with the idea to launch the New York Builder event, noting the team has run monthly events for nine consecutive months in San Francisco.
Models (1)
  • Open-source AI models face centralization risks despite their decentralized appearance, as control over training data, compute resources, and distribution remains concentrated among a few well-funded entities.
Philosophy (1)
  • The ethos of Bitcoin builders—autonomy, transparency, and permissionless innovation—is now influencing adjacent domains like AI and financial infrastructure, challenging centralized defaults.

Basel's Basil | Bitcoin RegulationMar 13

  • Paraguay enacted a law requiring annual reporting for any cryptocurrency transaction exceeding $5,000, with platforms mandated to report wallet addresses, transaction hashes, and counterparty details. David Bennett called the move "absolutely over the top freaking ridiculous" and "authoritarian."
  • The new Paraguayan law's reporting scope is broad, covering purchases, sales, exchanges, mining, staking, yield farming, airdrops, and transfers between a person's own wallets.
  • David Bennett argues that Paraguay's invasive financial surveillance, while framed as anti-money laundering, is more likely to repel foreign investment than attract it.
  • Paraguay's regulatory push aligns with recommendations from the Financial Action Task Force, which has urged countries toward stringent crypto reporting since 2019.
  • A report from the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime claims stablecoins like Tether are gaining relevance as a payment method in the illicit Amazon gold trade, particularly in Venezuela for gold smuggled out of Guyana.
  • David Bennett labeled the report linking stablecoins to illicit gold trading as "bullshit," arguing the criminal enterprise has existed for centuries and the narrative aims to tarnish cryptocurrency by association.
  • South Korea's National Tax Service is developing an AI-powered platform to monitor digital asset transactions and identify tax evasion, with a 3 billion won budget.
  • The global regulatory shift is moving beyond legislation toward active, automated enforcement, using advanced technology for comprehensive crypto taxation and oversight.

Wholly Unholy Matrimony | Bitcoin NewsMar 12

  • The fight for a Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption is exposing a strategic schism between companies building payment infrastructure, which need Bitcoin treated as money, and those content with its status as a taxable digital asset.
  • Podcaster Marty Bent, citing three sources, accused Coinbase of lobbying to limit the de minimis tax exemption to stablecoins only, an accusation echoed by the Bitcoin Policy Institute's Connor Brown.
  • Bitcoin Policy Institute's Connor Brown confirmed a strong political shift in Washington D.C. toward a stablecoin-only de minimis tax rule in recent months, creating headwinds for a broader Bitcoin exemption.
  • Coinbase Chief Policy Officer Faryar Shirzad called the lobbying accusation a total lie, but CEO Brian Armstrong has not made a definitive public statement, prompting public calls for clarity from Jack Dorsey's Block.
  • Jack Dorsey's Block is campaigning for Bitcoin as everyday money, building Lightning tools for merchants, and argues that a de minimis tax exemption is essential to validate its entire payment infrastructure business model.
  • Block's Miles Suter argues that Bitcoin payments are what validate Bitcoin as money, stating if Bitcoin just becomes digital gold, we failed the mission.
  • Lightning Network volume data from November 2025, showing $1.17 billion across over 5 million transactions, provides the strongest evidence against the political argument that no one is using Bitcoin as money.
  • Cash App processed one in four outbound Lightning Network payments in November 2025, demonstrating significant user adoption of Bitcoin for payments.
  • A powerful faction in Washington D.C. is moving to treat stablecoins as the only viable digital currency for payments, a policy outcome that would cement Bitcoin's status solely as a capital asset.

BTC's Golden Ticket | Bitcoin NewsMar 10

  • The Department of Justice is pursuing a second trial against Tornado Cash co-founder Roman Storm on unresolved money laundering charges, which could carry a maximum 40-year sentence.
  • Roman Storm was previously convicted of operating an unlicensed money-transmitting business. Bitcoin & Economic News host argues Storm is being prosecuted for writing open-source code for a protocol he doesn't control, calling him a political martyr.
  • The host characterizes the DOJ's pursuit of a second trial against Storm as political theater, questioning why a potential Trump administration hasn't intervened with a pardon.
  • U.S. authorities are sending conflicting messages, with a DOJ official stating 'writing code is not a crime' and the Treasury acknowledging legitimate privacy uses for mixers, while prosecutors simultaneously push forward with the case against Storm.
  • Coinbase has launched regulated Bitcoin and crypto futures in 26 European countries through its MiFID-registered entity, offering a regulated alternative to offshore platforms.
  • Coinbase's new European futures platform, which includes cash-settled Bitcoin futures and a 'MAG7' crypto-equity index with up to 10x leverage, uses USDC for funding instead of Tether. The host sees this as a regulatory-driven choice.
  • The host speculates Coinbase's European futures launch aligns with its 'exchange for everything' strategy and predicts Elon Musk might attempt to buy the company to integrate it into his 'everything app' vision for X.
  • The host frames the dual narratives of the legal battle over code and the race to build regulated financial empires as two sides of the same fight to define the next era of finance.

Cypherpunk Day | Bitcoin NewsMar 9

  • Analysts dismissed the mining of the 20 millionth Bitcoin as a non-event for price, with the Bitcoin And host arguing the predictable, transparent scarcity is the system's core feature, not a catalyst.
  • David Ng of Energy Co said the market is entering a new paradigm of a global asset with nearly zero new supply, a view echoed by Raphael Zaguri of Electron Energy who emphasized the unprecedented clarity of Bitcoin's issuance schedule.
  • The Bitcoin And host stated transaction fees are the only true variable in Bitcoin's future, determined by open market forces rather than opaque code.
  • The US Treasury's new 32-page report to Congress marks a tactical shift, admitting crypto mixers can serve legitimate privacy needs for lawful users, a recalibration from its 2022 sanction of Tornado Cash.
  • Alongside its privacy acknowledgement, the Treasury seeks new legislative tools including a digital asset-specific 'hold law' to let financial institutions freeze suspicious assets and wants to expand Patriot Act surveillance powers to crypto.
  • The Treasury report tries to thread a needle by distinguishing between custodial mixers, which it says must register, and non-custodial ones, recommending no new restrictions on the latter for now.
  • The Bitcoin And host contrasted Bitcoin's clarity with government opacity, stating, 'The whole point is Bitcoin is clear as crystal, but the US treasury is not clear as crystal.'
  • The host asserted that individuals holding their own Bitcoin keys do not fall under any proposed 'hold law' authority sought by the Treasury.
  • In parallel, 29 US lawmakers are pushing for a permanent legislative ban on a US central bank digital currency, reflecting growing political resistance to programmable government money.
  • The political fight over a CBDC is heating up as Bitcoin's apolitical, predictable monetary rules present a stark alternative to government-controlled, programmable money.

RABBIT HOLE RECAP #400: COINBASE FIGHTS BITCOINMar 12

  • According to Matt Odell, citing two sources, Coinbase lobbyists are pushing Washington to prioritize a de minimis tax exemption for stablecoins while sidelining a similar exemption for Bitcoin payments.
  • A de minimis tax exemption would remove a major barrier to Bitcoin as everyday money by eliminating capital gains reporting on small purchases like coffee.
  • Odell argues that seeking a de minimis exemption for stablecoins is redundant, as they are pegged to the dollar and any taxable gain is inherently minimal.
  • Coinbase's product focus, such as its commerce tool supporting only wrapped bitcoin on Ethereum or Base, not native Bitcoin, signals the firm's historical alignment with 'shitcoin land' over Bitcoin-as-money, according to the show.
  • In the broader crypto market structure bill FIT21, the only provision seen as favorable to Bitcoin core principles, the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act protecting open-source developers, is reportedly intact due to Senator Lummis's efforts.
  • Odell contends the rest of the FIT21 Act is designed primarily to grease the wheels for token casinos and speculative crypto markets, not to support Bitcoin's foundational use cases.
  • The episode frames this lobbying report as part of a recurring pattern where the broader crypto industry sacrifices Bitcoin user interests, like developer protection and self-custody rights, to prioritize its own speculative agenda.

#725: Why Bitcoin Adoption Is Fragmented with Fernando NikolicMar 11

  • Nikolic argues Bitcoin thrives as the logical victor in a world where the foundational lies of the fiat system are no longer hidden.

Also from this episode:

Society (5)
  • Fernando Nikolic argues institutions like the church, governments, and legacy media maintained control for centuries by leveraging information asymmetry as sole gatekeepers of truth.
  • Nikolic contends the internet destroyed this monopoly of centralized truth, collapsing the information asymmetry that allowed old institutions to control narratives.
  • Nikolic identifies this collapse of centralized truth as the core driver of current societal upheaval, not merely economic cycles.
  • Nikolic calls this societal phenomenon the 'fourth turning vibes', characterized by old institutions crumbling in front of everyone.
  • Nikolic claims the speed of information transfer accelerates societal crises and exposes institutional rot faster than ever before.
Macro (1)
  • Nikolic states the flaws and devaluations of central banks are now transparent in this new environment, exposing the foundational lies of the old system.

Silent Payments, Pay Join & the Bitcoin Tech Making You Invisible | NVK & Francis PouliotMar 10

  • Francis Pouliot argues that North Americans fundamentally misunderstand global cryptocurrency demand, where people in economies like Argentina lack the financial cushion to withstand Bitcoin's volatility.
  • Pouliot states that real demand outside wealthy nations is for stable banking utility and a stable medium of exchange, not exposure to a speculative, volatile asset.
  • For most of the world, financial freedom currently means access to stablecoins like Tether, not holding Bitcoin, because stability is paramount when people have little money.
  • Pouliot outlines a pragmatic view of Bitcoin's evolution, where its ultimate success would render educational and onboarding services like his company, Bull Bitcoin, obsolete.
  • The ideal end state for Bitcoin is a world without fiat, where the technology is so seamless and integrated into daily life that it disappears into the background, requiring no explanation.
  • For now, the transition gap is filled by stablecoins serving daily utility and companies like Bull Bitcoin facilitating the on-ramp, but the mission is to build a system that doesn't need intermediaries.

CD194: SIDESWAP - LIQUID PREDICTION MARKETSMar 9

  • The Liquid sidechain is Bitcoin's underutilized layer for asset issuance and confidential transactions, struggling against custodial models and flashier smart contract alternatives.
  • Scott, cofounder of Sideswap, built a noncustodial wallet and swap market based on atomic swaps, allowing two parties to trade directly without an intermediary.
  • Scott explains that Sideswap functions as a bulletin board and order book where dealers compete to set prices, aiming for better pricing and trustless settlement.
  • Odell notes that for average users, Sideswap simplifies moving between mainchain Bitcoin, Liquid Bitcoin, and Liquid Tether.
  • Scott says deeper infrastructure includes a peg service for bridging chains and open dealing software for market makers.
  • Scott attributes Liquid's slow growth to Bitcoin's single-asset nature and the initial allure of chains offering easier smart contracts, and notes major custodians like Fireblocks haven't integrated Liquid.
  • Scott says adoption is creeping forward organically, with Brazilian stablecoin Depix leading in transaction count on their platform, though Tether dominates total volume.
  • Scott notes Sideswap's cash-flow-positive, quiet build contrasts with the custodial, opaque swap services that dominate the space.

Also from this episode:

Privacy (1)
  • Scott believes Liquid's path forward relies on organic growth and products that leverage its privacy features, like wallets using it as a base layer for Lightning payments.