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POLITICS

Iran builds Bitcoin toll for oil shipments

Wednesday, May 20, 2026 · from 3 podcasts, 4 episodes
  • Iran is creating a Bitcoin-based toll system for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, bypassing U.S.-controlled financial rails.
  • The move validates Bitcoin as 'money for enemies' after $344M in Tether was frozen by U.S. authorities.
  • China, UAE, and Gulf states are aligning with Iran to build a trade axis outside the dollar system.

Iran is building a parallel maritime economy powered by Bitcoin. After U.S. authorities froze $344 million in Tether linked to the IRGC, Iran is now demanding Bitcoin payments for a new 'Hormuz Safe' insurance scheme - effectively a digital toll for ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz. The system turns the payment itself into a cryptographic guarantee of safe passage, using multi-signature transactions to lock funds until arrival.

Simon Dixon on Hard Talk argues this isn't just evasion - it's systemic disruption. By embedding insurance into Bitcoin transactions, Iran dismantles Lloyd’s of London’s centuries-old monopoly. The U.S. can no longer weaponize SWIFT or freeze assets, because Bitcoin has no central issuer. As Dixon put it, 'Bitcoin provides a neutral settlement layer that the U.S. Treasury cannot sanction.'

"Bitcoin is officially money for enemies."

- Marty Bent, TFTC

The move is part of a broader shift. China, UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Iran are forming a trade triangle outside the dollar system. Iran’s nuclear energy gives it a structural mining advantage, turning electricity into a sovereign Bitcoin reserve. Meanwhile, transnational capital - led by BlackRock and Vanguard - has shifted loyalty from the U.S. to a multipolar portfolio, accelerating the decline of the petrodollar.

"The goal is a world where the U.S. shrinks to a regional power."

- Simon Dixon, Hard Talk

This isn’t just about oil. It’s about control. The Strait handles a fifth of global oil flow. By monetizing it in Bitcoin, Iran turns a chokepoint into a revenue engine. The U.S. can’t stop it - bond yields and oil prices now constrain escalation more than military posture. As one model suggests, war pauses when 30-year yields hit 5% or oil hits $120. The math, not the rhetoric, dictates peace.

Source Intelligence

- Deep dive into what was said in the episodes

How Iran is Using Bitcoin to Bypass SWIFT & Lloyd's of London | Simon DixonMay 19

  • Iran has established a governing body for the Strait of Hormuz and is now offering maritime insurance, payable in Bitcoin, directly challenging Lloyd's of London and other British insurers.
  • Simon Dixon explains Iran's plan to cryptographically embed the insurance contract directly into a Bitcoin payment, allowing the payment itself to serve as verifiable insurance via the blockchain.
  • Simon Dixon speculates Iran will use multi-signature Bitcoin transactions, where funds are only released after shipment delivery, creating a decentralized mediation system. This structure prevents fund seizure by centralized entities.
  • Unlike stablecoins or other cryptocurrencies tied to foundations, Bitcoin lacks a central issuer, making it impossible for external entities to freeze or seize self-custody funds. Simon Dixon highlights Iran as a major sovereign Bitcoin miner.
  • Simon Dixon states Iran's Bitcoin-based insurance system bypasses SWIFT for payment weaponization, circumvents sanctions, and removes the need for Lloyd's of London, establishing a neutral financial contract.
  • Simon Dixon explains CoinJoin as a legal technology for Bitcoin users to mix transactions and enhance privacy, making them untraceable, even if authorities blacklist specific wallet addresses from exchanges.
  • Simon Dixon asserts that Bitcoin acts as a neutral, unprintable "hard money" that protects countries like Iran from historical currency wars waged by empires, which debase local currencies to impose debt.
  • Simon Dixon describes a growing alliance between China, Qatar, Taiwan, Iran, UAE, and Saudi Arabia, leveraging their resources to challenge the "boot of the dollar" and US/UK geopolitical influence.
  • Simon Dixon notes the Iranian stock market is primarily internal, dominated by local wealthy families and institutions, similar to Venezuela's, and protected by sanctions from external manipulation.
Also from this episode: (4)

Nation-State (3)

  • Simon Dixon suggests Iran could leverage its Bitcoin toll fees to create a sovereign wealth fund, manage risk actuarially, and build a new financial system independent of traditional dollar-based systems.
  • Simon Dixon notes that if Iran is allowed a civilian nuclear power plant in negotiations, they could use it for Bitcoin mining, gaining a significant cost advantage over American miners facing higher energy prices.
  • Simon Dixon argues that holding Bitcoin as a "hard money" asset, which historically outperforms inflation, allows Iran to build national security and strategic reserves, similar to El Salvador's approach.

Custody (1)

  • Simon Dixon clarifies that while governments can make Bitcoin ownership illegal or confiscate holdings from regulated custodians, they cannot freeze Bitcoin held in self-custody hardware wallets.

The Dark Financial Realities Behind the Iran War | Simon Dixon on Daniel Davis / Deep DiveMay 14

  • Simon Dixon argues war is a business model financed by taxpayers and inflation, where yield is captured by a financial-industrial complex of banks that also own military companies and trade both sides of conflicts.
  • Dixon cites the Afghanistan war as a forever war model lasting 20 years and costing a couple trillion dollars, with regimes changed to award rebuild contracts to the initiating empire.
  • Dixon states transnational capital is managed by BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard, which control $30 trillion in assets and hold 20,000 board seats across corporate portfolios including military, tech, energy, and resource companies.
  • Simon Dixon points to post-1973 Saudi oil embargo and King Faisal's assassination as precursors to the petrodollar system, which recycled dollars into US defense contracts and the stock market.
  • Dixon says George Bush established the Safari Club intelligence network around 1973-1975, which trained Osama bin Laden by weaponizing Wahhabi ideology, while Bush's family wealth came from oil.
  • Simon Dixon argues Israel’s stock market is 40% banks and the rest military tech, cybersecurity, AI, and resources, with Netanyahu serving private financial lobbies aligned with US neocons and ultra-Zionists for the Greater Israel Project.
  • Dixon claims transnational capital concentrates wealth by bankrupting small businesses and farmers, then acquiring them via four publicly traded companies whose primary shareholder is BlackRock.
  • Simon Dixon describes a bounded escalation model where Iran and UAE cooperate on sanctioned trade and payment rails despite conflict, with China as their top trading partner and UAE as Iran’s second.
  • Dixon says UAE holds $2 trillion in assets and received a Federal Reserve FX swap line, joining an elite club with major central banks to create dollars while integrating into China’s system.
  • Simon Dixon claims transnational capital owns $69 trillion of US assets and controls lobbies, using the US military as a rented militia for resource extraction and world order change, not for America-first interests.
  • Dixon divides Iran’s IRGC into factions: one benefits from sanctions and the shadow economy, another wants sanction relief aligned with China, Gulf states, and transnational capital for regional stability.
  • Simon Dixon argues lifting Iran sanctions would release 2-4 million barrels of oil onto the market, resetting petrodollar-petro yuan dynamics, with negotiations led by Xi Jinping and financial firms like Goldman Sachs in Shanghai.
  • Dixon states the US sold its first 30-year bond since 2007 above 5% yield, triggering mortgage rates near 7% and requiring Fed regime change to buy bonds and justify massive money printing for an AI-driven growth bubble.
  • Simon Dixon says all US stock market growth last year came from AI and data center build-out funded by trillion-dollar government budgets, with no growth otherwise.
  • Dixon claims war escalation depends on bond yields and oil prices: Trump seeks peace when 30-year yields hit 5% and oil futures reach $120, but physical destruction would force oil higher regardless of market manipulation.

The Safe of Hormuz | Bitcoin NewsMay 18

  • Iran may establish a toll and insurance system for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, with speculation payments could be in Bitcoin. The proposal could generate over $10 billion in revenue.
  • Bernstein analysts argue the Clarity Act compromise on stablecoin yield structurally favors Circle, cementing its position against competitors like Tether. Circle's activity-based reward model is protected, while passive yield offerings are prohibited.
  • Total stablecoin supply reached a record high of over $300 billion, with USDT and USDC dominating 97% of the market. Adjusted monthly transaction volume hit $15 trillion in April.
  • Circle's ARC blockchain for institutional payments processed 244 million cumulative testnet transactions since October 2025, with 1.6 million unique wallets in Q1 2026. Its ARC token presale raised $222 million.
  • Galaxymind.space is a free directory of over 100 merchants across 19 countries that accept Bitcoin for physical goods. The site includes a buying gauge tool analyzing 10 market signals to assess timing for Bitcoin purchases.
  • A new Nostr feature enables on-chain Bitcoin zaps directly to a user's public key (npub), creating a direct link between a Nostr identity and a Bitcoin wallet address. This raises privacy and dust transaction concerns.
  • MicroStrategy purchased 24,869 additional Bitcoin for approximately $2 billion, averaging $80,985 per coin. This brings its total holdings to 843,738 Bitcoin at an aggregate cost of $63.87 billion.
  • Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala increased its position in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) by 16% in Q1 2026, holding 14.7 million shares worth $565.6 million. Combined with Al Waha Investments, Abu Dhabi entities hold over $1 billion in IBIT.
  • Bitcoin Depot, the largest Bitcoin ATM operator in North America, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and shut down its network of 9,000 machines. The company cited a hostile regulatory landscape and reported a 49.2% revenue decline.
  • Bitcoin price was $76,004.20, with a market cap of $1.53 trillion. The network hash rate was 954 exahashes per second, with 90,000 unconfirmed transactions.
Also from this episode: (2)

AI & Tech (2)

  • Claude Mythos, an AI model from Anthropic, helped a Vietnamese startup develop a kernel exploit for Apple's M5 hardware in less than a week. The exploit allows escalation from an unprivileged account to root access.
  • OpenAI launched a personal finance feature in ChatGPT that connects via Plaid to users' bank accounts for read-only access to transactions and balances. The feature is rolling out to Pro subscribers first.

Ten31 Timestamp: Mr. Warsh, I Don't Feel So GoodMay 18

  • The 30-year US Treasury auction hit a high yield over 5%, a level not seen since August 2007, as global bond markets showed signs of deterioration.
  • Both CPI and PPI inflation prints came in hotter than expected, with PPI at 6% even excluding food and energy, increasing market expectations of further Fed rate hikes.
  • Marty Bent argues the dominant policy narrative will prioritize the AI race and funding government deficits over fighting inflation, making aggressive rate hikes politically and economically untenable.
  • Marty Bent interprets Japan's apparent loss of control over its bond market and warnings of hyperinflation as a cautionary tale for other heavily indebted nations running similar policies.
  • Reports indicate Iran's IRGC is demanding payments in Bitcoin for a new 'Hormuz Safe' shipping insurance product, a move seen as a direct response to OFAC's ability to freeze dollar-based stablecoins.
  • Bent views Iran's potential Bitcoin adoption for Strait of Hormuz tolls as a major validation of Bitcoin's value proposition as 'money for enemies' and a high-signal geopolitical headline for Bitcoin.
  • Supply shocks from the Strait of Hormuz situation are now affecting motor oil, with a meme circulating about a potential 40% supply reduction for US suppliers by mid-summer, alongside impacts on sulfur and fertilizers.
Also from this episode: (3)

Diplomacy (1)

  • Marty Bent calls the recent meeting between the US President, American CEOs, and China's Xi Jinping a 'holding pattern,' with unclear concrete accomplishments despite discussion of Taiwan and opening Chinese markets.

Banking (1)

  • The US Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee floated a plan for the Treasury to lend its own cash into the repo market using Treasury collateral, a novel and potentially inflationary tool to manage market plumbing.

AI & Tech (1)

  • Bent suggests officials like Kevin Warsh advocate for an AI-driven productivity boom to create disinflation, providing cover for the Fed to cut rates despite current inflation.