Price:

POLITICS

Iran proposes Bitcoin-based maritime insurance to bypass Lloyd's sanctions.

Thursday, May 21, 2026 · from 3 podcasts, 4 episodes
  • Lloyd's insurance monopoly on the Strait of Hormuz is threatened.
  • Bitcoin offers sanctions-proof settlement, embedding payment as the contract.
  • Geopolitical control shifts from financial weaponization to energy-backed crypto.

Simon Dixon explains Iran’s plan isn't just a currency swap. It replaces centuries of British maritime dominance by embedding insurance contracts directly into Bitcoin payments. Shippers paying tolls for safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz would use multi-signature transactions, where funds are locked until the shipment arrives. This turns the payment itself into a cryptographic guarantee.

"Iran is using Bitcoin to dismantle Lloyd's monopoly."

- Simon Dixon, Simon Dixon Hard Talk

The move targets a core Western choke point. Dixon notes that the SWIFT system allows the U.S. to enforce sanctions by threatening dollar clearing. Iran, already one of the world's largest sovereign Bitcoin miners, is using its nuclear energy advantage to mine Bitcoin cheaply and build a digital sovereign wealth fund. This creates a neutral settlement layer the Treasury cannot freeze.

On Bitcoin And, David Bennett views the proposal as a potential "digital toll" for a shipping lane handling a fifth of the world's oil, framing it as a high-seas protection racket. The state-affiliated plan, reportedly called Hormuz Safe, could generate over $10 billion. Bennett argues that if the Iranian regime writes the policy, they have zero incentive to pay out claims on ships they seize.

"The 'insurance' label is a cover for organized crime."

- David Bennett, Bitcoin And

Dixon connects this to a broader financial realignment. He argues transnational capital - managed by firms like BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard controlling $30 trillion - is treating the U.S.-led order as a distressed asset. China is normalizing relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia to secure energy and build payment rails circumventing SWIFT. The goal is a multipolar world where the U.S. shrinks to a regional power.

War, Dixon argues on a separate Hard Talk episode, is a business model financed by taxpayer debt and inflation, where yield is captured by a financial-industrial complex. The system is constrained by bond markets and oil prices. He states that when 30-year bond yields rise above 5%, political actors shift to peace rhetoric to cool markets. Similarly, the system optimizes for oil at $110 to $120 per barrel.

Iran’s Bitcoin strategy is a direct countermove in these currency wars. By converting its natural resources into a globally neutral asset, it diminishes the U.S.’s ability to destroy a local currency’s value through FX manipulation. As Dixon puts it, this is the ultimate bypass of the "boot of the dollar."

Source Intelligence

- Deep dive into what was said in the episodes

Hyperliquid And SpaceX Synthetic Trading | The Brainstorm EP 132May 20

  • Lorenzo identifies Hyperliquid as the biggest derivatives exchange in crypto, bootstrapped without VC capital and built by a small team.
  • Hyperliquid is a purpose-built layer-1 blockchain for perpetual futures, not built on Ethereum or Solana, offering centralized exchange-like latency and trader experience.
  • Hyperliquid generates nearly $3 trillion in annual volume, a single-digit percentage of Binance's volume, and runs at a $1 billion revenue run rate with a team of only 15 people.
  • HIP-3, or 'builder codes,' lets anyone launch a perpetual market by staking Hyperliquid's HYPE tokens, licensing the exchange's core technology to third parties.
  • Trade XYZ, a HIP-3 market, launched perpetuals on commodities, indices, and pre-IPO stocks, capturing up to 2-3% of CME's volume during the Iran war when traditional markets were closed.
  • Trade XYZ's SpaceX perpetual market is synthetic and has no claim to equity. Its price uses a time-weighted average of its own order book as an oracle, lacking a real spot price.
  • Cerebras's pre-IPO perpetual on Trade XYZ priced at $240, closely matching its first-day public trading price of ~$250, while its IPO priced at only $180.
  • Trade XYZ's SpaceX market trades at ~$200, implying a $2 trillion valuation and a 30% premium to the rumored $1.7 trillion IPO price of $150 per share.
  • Trade XYZ geoblocks US users from its main crypto markets. Trading futures on non-public equities like SpaceX is illegal in the US, so the platform primarily serves overseas sophisticated users and hedge funds.
  • Lorenzo says perpetuals are the most profitable product in crypto. He expects stiff competition from centralized exchanges like Coinbase and Kraken launching their own perpetual products.
  • Lorenzo suggests trade XYZ and similar pre-IPO perpetual markets could eventually rival prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, especially for financial products where leverage and cross-margin are desired.
  • Lorenzo posits that if pre-IPO perpetual open interest surpasses tender offer volumes, these synthetic markets could begin to influence real-world IPO pricing and secondary transactions.

How Iran is Using Bitcoin to Bypass SWIFT & Lloyd's of London | Simon DixonMay 19

  • Iran has established a governing body for the Strait of Hormuz and is now offering maritime insurance, payable in Bitcoin, directly challenging Lloyd's of London and other British insurers.
  • Simon Dixon explains Iran's plan to cryptographically embed the insurance contract directly into a Bitcoin payment, allowing the payment itself to serve as verifiable insurance via the blockchain.
  • Simon Dixon speculates Iran will use multi-signature Bitcoin transactions, where funds are only released after shipment delivery, creating a decentralized mediation system. This structure prevents fund seizure by centralized entities.
  • Unlike stablecoins or other cryptocurrencies tied to foundations, Bitcoin lacks a central issuer, making it impossible for external entities to freeze or seize self-custody funds. Simon Dixon highlights Iran as a major sovereign Bitcoin miner.
  • Simon Dixon states Iran's Bitcoin-based insurance system bypasses SWIFT for payment weaponization, circumvents sanctions, and removes the need for Lloyd's of London, establishing a neutral financial contract.
  • Simon Dixon explains CoinJoin as a legal technology for Bitcoin users to mix transactions and enhance privacy, making them untraceable, even if authorities blacklist specific wallet addresses from exchanges.
  • Simon Dixon clarifies that while governments can make Bitcoin ownership illegal or confiscate holdings from regulated custodians, they cannot freeze Bitcoin held in self-custody hardware wallets.
  • Simon Dixon asserts that Bitcoin acts as a neutral, unprintable "hard money" that protects countries like Iran from historical currency wars waged by empires, which debase local currencies to impose debt.
  • Simon Dixon notes the Iranian stock market is primarily internal, dominated by local wealthy families and institutions, similar to Venezuela's, and protected by sanctions from external manipulation.
Also from this episode: (4)

Nation-State (3)

  • Simon Dixon suggests Iran could leverage its Bitcoin toll fees to create a sovereign wealth fund, manage risk actuarially, and build a new financial system independent of traditional dollar-based systems.
  • Simon Dixon notes that if Iran is allowed a civilian nuclear power plant in negotiations, they could use it for Bitcoin mining, gaining a significant cost advantage over American miners facing higher energy prices.
  • Simon Dixon argues that holding Bitcoin as a "hard money" asset, which historically outperforms inflation, allows Iran to build national security and strategic reserves, similar to El Salvador's approach.

Diplomacy (1)

  • Simon Dixon describes a growing alliance between China, Qatar, Taiwan, Iran, UAE, and Saudi Arabia, leveraging their resources to challenge the "boot of the dollar" and US/UK geopolitical influence.

The Dark Financial Realities Behind the Iran War | Simon Dixon on Daniel Davis / Deep DiveMay 14

  • Dixon cites the Afghanistan war as a forever war model lasting 20 years and costing a couple trillion dollars, with regimes changed to award rebuild contracts to the initiating empire.
  • Dixon says George Bush established the Safari Club intelligence network around 1973-1975, which trained Osama bin Laden by weaponizing Wahhabi ideology, while Bush's family wealth came from oil.
  • Simon Dixon argues Israel’s stock market is 40% banks and the rest military tech, cybersecurity, AI, and resources, with Netanyahu serving private financial lobbies aligned with US neocons and ultra-Zionists for the Greater Israel Project.
  • Dixon claims transnational capital concentrates wealth by bankrupting small businesses and farmers, then acquiring them via four publicly traded companies whose primary shareholder is BlackRock.
  • Dixon says UAE holds $2 trillion in assets and received a Federal Reserve FX swap line, joining an elite club with major central banks to create dollars while integrating into China’s system.
  • Simon Dixon claims transnational capital owns $69 trillion of US assets and controls lobbies, using the US military as a rented militia for resource extraction and world order change, not for America-first interests.
  • Dixon divides Iran’s IRGC into factions: one benefits from sanctions and the shadow economy, another wants sanction relief aligned with China, Gulf states, and transnational capital for regional stability.
  • Dixon states the US sold its first 30-year bond since 2007 above 5% yield, triggering mortgage rates near 7% and requiring Fed regime change to buy bonds and justify massive money printing for an AI-driven growth bubble.
  • Simon Dixon says all US stock market growth last year came from AI and data center build-out funded by trillion-dollar government budgets, with no growth otherwise.
  • Dixon claims war escalation depends on bond yields and oil prices: Trump seeks peace when 30-year yields hit 5% and oil futures reach $120, but physical destruction would force oil higher regardless of market manipulation.
Also from this episode: (5)

Politics (3)

  • Simon Dixon argues war is a business model financed by taxpayers and inflation, where yield is captured by a financial-industrial complex of banks that also own military companies and trade both sides of conflicts.
  • Simon Dixon points to post-1973 Saudi oil embargo and King Faisal's assassination as precursors to the petrodollar system, which recycled dollars into US defense contracts and the stock market.
  • Simon Dixon argues lifting Iran sanctions would release 2-4 million barrels of oil onto the market, resetting petrodollar-petro yuan dynamics, with negotiations led by Xi Jinping and financial firms like Goldman Sachs in Shanghai.

Business (1)

  • Dixon states transnational capital is managed by BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard, which control $30 trillion in assets and hold 20,000 board seats across corporate portfolios including military, tech, energy, and resource companies.

Trade (1)

  • Simon Dixon describes a bounded escalation model where Iran and UAE cooperate on sanctioned trade and payment rails despite conflict, with China as their top trading partner and UAE as Iran’s second.

The Safe of Hormuz | Bitcoin NewsMay 18

  • Iran may establish a toll and insurance system for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, with speculation payments could be in Bitcoin. The proposal could generate over $10 billion in revenue.
  • Bernstein analysts argue the Clarity Act compromise on stablecoin yield structurally favors Circle, cementing its position against competitors like Tether. Circle's activity-based reward model is protected, while passive yield offerings are prohibited.
  • Total stablecoin supply reached a record high of over $300 billion, with USDT and USDC dominating 97% of the market. Adjusted monthly transaction volume hit $15 trillion in April.
  • Circle's ARC blockchain for institutional payments processed 244 million cumulative testnet transactions since October 2025, with 1.6 million unique wallets in Q1 2026. Its ARC token presale raised $222 million.
  • Galaxymind.space is a free directory of over 100 merchants across 19 countries that accept Bitcoin for physical goods. The site includes a buying gauge tool analyzing 10 market signals to assess timing for Bitcoin purchases.
  • A new Nostr feature enables on-chain Bitcoin zaps directly to a user's public key (npub), creating a direct link between a Nostr identity and a Bitcoin wallet address. This raises privacy and dust transaction concerns.
  • MicroStrategy purchased 24,869 additional Bitcoin for approximately $2 billion, averaging $80,985 per coin. This brings its total holdings to 843,738 Bitcoin at an aggregate cost of $63.87 billion.
  • Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala increased its position in BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) by 16% in Q1 2026, holding 14.7 million shares worth $565.6 million. Combined with Al Waha Investments, Abu Dhabi entities hold over $1 billion in IBIT.
  • Bitcoin Depot, the largest Bitcoin ATM operator in North America, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and shut down its network of 9,000 machines. The company cited a hostile regulatory landscape and reported a 49.2% revenue decline.
  • Bitcoin price was $76,004.20, with a market cap of $1.53 trillion. The network hash rate was 954 exahashes per second, with 90,000 unconfirmed transactions.
Also from this episode: (2)

AI & Tech (2)

  • Claude Mythos, an AI model from Anthropic, helped a Vietnamese startup develop a kernel exploit for Apple's M5 hardware in less than a week. The exploit allows escalation from an unprivileged account to root access.
  • OpenAI launched a personal finance feature in ChatGPT that connects via Plaid to users' bank accounts for read-only access to transactions and balances. The feature is rolling out to Pro subscribers first.