03-16-2026Price:

The Frontier

Your signal. Your price.

POLITICS

The War on Public Perception

Monday, March 16, 2026 · from 5 podcasts, 7 episodes
  • Media coverage manufactures threats, hides casualties, and chases minor scandals to distract from a war most Americans oppose.
  • The propaganda phase is over, but narrative control remains a frontline battle between official stories and independent reporting.
  • This war is being fought on two fronts: the physical conflict with Iran and the information war for public acceptance.

The battlefield isn't just Kuwait or the Strait of Hormuz. It's public perception.

On Fox News, Brian Kilmeade tried to corner Donald Trump with a 1988 threat to seize Karg Island. Trump dismissed it as a foolish question. The No Agenda Show played the clip as part of its deconstruction of how media amplifies political clichés like "short-term pain for long-term gain" to justify conflict.

Tucker Carlson argues we've moved past propaganda to a kinetic war where force decides the outcome. He says Iran's victory threshold is simple regime survival, or possibly seizing the Strait of Hormuz. But the information war continues. Breaking Points reported the Pentagon's initial casualty count from the Kuwait drone strike was three dead and a handful wounded. New information reveals dozens hospitalized with brain trauma, burns, and shrapnel wounds.

Distraction is a key tactic. As public polling showed Americans believing the war served Israeli interests, a scandal erupted. Republican senators had stated the U.S. attacked Iran because Israel was about to. Ryan Grim on Breaking Points argued the timing was strategic. The media then pivoted to outrage over New York City Mayor Zoran Mamdani’s wife liking old pro-Palestinian Instagram posts. Grim called it a deliberate effort to "gin up a little bit of distractive hatred."

Fear is another tool. The No Agenda Show dissected an ABC News report about unconfirmed intelligence of a potential Iranian drone attack off California. With the Oscars approaching, Curry noted the vague warning justified deploying hundreds of police and federal personnel, creating a feedback loop that manufactured a state of alert from thin air.

Independent media faces its own battles. Breaking Points highlighted a UK court victory for Drop Site News against a BBC editor who sued over an article alleging pro-Israel bias. Grim credited viewer donations, which raised over $250,000 for legal defense, with enabling the fight. It's a resource war against institutional legal threats.

Cory Doctorow, on The Ezra Klein Show, described a broader enshittification of information ecosystems. When he sees bad things now, he thinks "this is by design and it cannot be fixed." That fatalism is the goal of controlled narratives. The war coverage exemplifies it: a system designed to obscure costs, redirect anger, and sustain conflict against public will.

Ryan Grimm, Breaking Points:

- My theory on what's going on here is that Marco Rubio I think drove some people completely insane when he said out loud that the reason we attacked Iran right now is because Israel was going to attack.

- And so think you gotta gin up a little bit of distractive hatred towards Muslims if you can, and who better to go after than Zoran Mamdani.

Entities Mentioned

BBCCompany
CNNCompany
Drop Site NewsCompany
Fox NewsCompany
PentagonCompany

Source Intelligence

What each podcast actually said

1851 - "Mork & Mimi"Mar 15

  • A 1988 interview in which Donald Trump threatened to seize Iran's Karg Island, its primary oil export hub, has resurfaced in media coverage of the 2026 U.S.-Iran conflict.
  • Fox News host Brian Kilmeade confronted Trump with the decades-old threat on air, a clip analyzed by the No Agenda Show.
  • Trump dismissed Kilmeade's question as foolish, rhetorically asking what fool would answer whether he would still seize the island.
  • Trump pivoted from the Iran question to boasting about his prescient 2000 call to kill Osama bin Laden, which he claims was ignored until after 9/11.
  • Adam Curry and Mimi Smith-Dvorak deconstructed war coverage, including a U.S. tanker crash in Iraq, rising oil prices, and the easing of Russian oil sanctions.
  • The No Agenda Show highlighted a supercut of politicians and pundits repetitively using the phrase 'short-term pain for long-term gain' to justify the conflict's economic and human costs.
  • The hosts critiqued media factual sloppiness with a segment on the misidentification of a historic California bar, the Hotsy Totsy Club.
  • Co-host John C. Dvorak is recovering from heart surgery; Adam Curry reported Dvorak sounded unusually upbeat during a hospital call and is expected to be released soon.

1850 - "Error Bars"Mar 12

  • An ABC News report citing unconfirmed intelligence about Iran possibly considering launching drones from a vessel is the sole basis for a public terror warning in California around the Oscars, according to Adam Curry.
  • Adam Curry describes a media feedback loop where a vague warning justifies high security for a major event like the Oscars, and that visible security deployment then validates the perception of a tangible threat.
  • Mimi Smith-Dvorak explains that the shortwave number station signal referenced in reports is a century-old encrypted method used by intelligence services to communicate with covert agents.
  • Adam Curry and Mimi Smith-Dvorak argue that amplifying an old, unconfirmed intelligence snippet with no details on timing or targets serves to stoke public fear and manufacture a state of perpetual alert.
  • John C. Dvorak is recovering in a hospital rehab wing, working on mobility and sounding more like himself, though fatigued in the evenings, with his podcast return dependent on continued progress.

Also from this episode:

Politics (1)
  • The hosts frame the government's simultaneous warning of a potential threat while stressing there is no confirmed specific plan as a tactic to justify security theater.

What Trump Didn’t Know About IranMar 14

Also from this episode:

Business (2)
  • Tim Wu defines platform extraction as an economic process where monopolistic platforms capture wealth far beyond the value they provide to users.
  • Cory Doctorow labels the user-facing result of platform extraction 'enshittification', a systematic degradation of quality as value shifts from users to business customers and then to shareholders.
Digital Sovereignty (2)
  • The broken feeling of the internet stems from a deliberate structural shift from user empowerment to corporate control, not nostalgia for an earlier era.
  • Cory Doctorow contrasts early internet optimism, where bad features felt like bugs to be fixed, with current fatalism, where poor quality is accepted as an unchangeable design choice.
Big Tech (1)
  • Platforms now lock users in as assets, leading to a centralized economic model where they ultimately serve shareholders first and users last.
Regulation (2)
  • According to Doctorow, resisting platform decay requires rejecting technological determinism and the belief that abusive platform behavior is an inevitable stage of market capture.
  • Real change, as outlined by Wu and Doctorow, necessitates breaking platform monopolies to restore competitive pressure that forces companies to treat users well.

3/12/26: US Lies About Casualties, Trump Declares Victory, US Flagged Ship StruckMar 12

  • The Pentagon initially claimed only three US troops were killed and a handful seriously wounded in a recent Iranian drone strike, but new reports show dozens were hospitalized with brain trauma, burns, and shrapnel wounds, according to Saagar on Breaking Points.
  • Donald Trump declared the conflict over and a US victory on the campaign trail, calling the engagement a 'little excursion,' a stance directly contradicted by emerging evidence of escalating casualties and economic costs.
  • A surge in oil prices following the strike, despite a strategic reserve release, and attacks on more tankers including a US-flagged vessel signal the conflict's economic and military escalation is ongoing.
  • The discrepancy between initial casualty reports and the reality of urgent medical evacuations fits a pattern of downplaying the human cost of conflict at the outset to manage public perception, argue Krystal and Saagar.
  • Independent outlet Drop Site News won a UK court ruling that its article alleging pro-Israel bias in BBC coverage constituted 'honest opinion,' a defense that could end a lawsuit brought by a BBC editor.
  • Ryan Grim of Drop Site News credited over $250,000 in viewer and reader donations for enabling the legal defense against the BBC, which Krystal and Saagar cited as a critical reason to financially support independent media.
  • Krystal and Saagar frame the early stages of the conflict as being fought on dual fronts: a military war with obscured casualties and a media war where adversarial reporting requires surviving legal threats.

3/11/26: Jake Tapper Crashes Out On Ryan, Americans Says War Is For Epstein & Israel, Bill Maher Praises Iran WarMar 11

  • The story about New York Mayor Zoran Mamdani's wife liking pro-Palestinian Instagram posts from 2023 is a calculated media distraction, according to Breaking Points hosts Ryan Grimm and Emily Jashinsky.
  • Ryan Grimm argues the distraction targets rising public opposition to a new U.S. war in the Middle East, which recent polling shows Americans widely reject.
  • Grimm cites statements from Republican senators Marco Rubio and Tom Cotton that the U.S. attacked Iran because Israel was about to as a catalyst for the need to redirect public anger.
  • The media coverage, led by Jewish Insider and amplified by CNN's Jake Tapper, frames the likes as celebrating the October 7th attacks, a characterization Grimm and Jashinsky dispute.
  • Grimm and Jashinsky note the actual posts referenced breaking the walls of apartheid and describing Israeli torture camps, sentiments they argue a broad public might share.
  • The scandal transforms a private citizen into a political target by focusing on who the spouse married, a standard of opposition research rarely applied symmetrically across the political spectrum.
  • Ryan Grimm argues the underlying goal is to gin up distractive hatred towards Muslims to shift focus away from public rejection of a war seen as serving Israeli, not American, interests.

Tucker on the Propaganda Pawns, Bibi’s Threat to Trump, and the Great American BetrayalMar 12

  • Tucker Carlson states the U.S. has moved from a propaganda phase into a kinetic, physical war with Iran where military force, not rhetoric, will determine the outcome.
  • Carlson argues President Biden openly threatened nuclear options and Secretary of State Blinken said Israel forced America's hand, a stark but honest admission of the war's origins.
  • Proponents like Ben Shapiro frame the conflict morally, claiming that questioning the war is not just wrong but evil, akin to Holocaust denial, rather than arguing it serves U.S. interests.
  • Carlson contends that Iran's threshold for victory is low, requiring only regime survival, and that changing the regime would demand U.S. ground troops for which there is no public or political appetite.
  • A true strategic victory for Iran, Carlson claims, would be seizing control of the Straits of Hormuz, a 20-mile choke point for 20% of global oil and gas, which would instantly redraw global power dynamics.

Part One: From Elliott Rodger to Clavicular: The Story of Incel EvolutionMar 10

Also from this episode:

Society (15)
  • Incels' fringe online culture subtly shapes mainstream internet slang and widely adopted concepts.
  • The 'looksmaxing' trend traces a direct lineage from incel anxieties about attractiveness.
  • Incel terminology, despite its violent origins and toxic core, has become surprisingly influential across youth culture.
  • Incels' fringe culture now influences everyday internet slang, shaping how a generation speaks and thinks about attraction.
  • The link from Elliott Rodger's 2014 mass murder to today's 'looksmaxing' trend is direct.
  • Robert Evans explains looksmaxing involves extreme measures like jaw smashing or drug use for perceived aesthetic improvement.
  • Kat Abou notes the incel subculture's bizarre hyper-masculine yet homoerotic undertones.
  • The incel subculture projects a 'Chad' ideal onto what women supposedly want.
  • Robert Evans adds that this incel view is 'totally detached from reality,' ignoring that real people seek kindness, humor, and respect.
  • This profound detachment from reality hasn't prevented incel concepts from spreading.
  • Terms born in incel forums now routinely appear in mainstream conversations and memes.
  • Despite its toxic and violent origins, incel lexicon has penetrated popular culture 'like a knife through butter,' according to Evans.
  • Robert Evans asks how the incel subculture has been so influential given almost everyone uses words that originated there.
  • Evans notes words originally from the incel community have become common Gen Z or Gen Alpha internet slang.
  • Robert Evans states that despite being fringe, extreme, toxic, and scary, the incel subculture has had an incredible history of shotgunning terms and concepts into mass consciousness.